Model

Degradative, closed-loop lactate control for an immunosuppressive TME — the SPGM modular design.

SPGM Lactate Closed-loop
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Overview


1.1 Problem Statement

OVERVIEW
Context
In the field of cancer immunotherapy, a pivotal challenge lies in overcoming the immunosuppressive 'metabolic trap' induced by the excessive accumulation of lactate in the tumor microenvironment (TME).
Warburg & MCT4
Characterized by the Warburg effect—a hallmark of metabolic reprogramming of tumor cells—tumor cells exhibit a preferential shift toward glycolysis for energy production even under oxygen-replete conditions, thereby generating substantial amounts of lactate. This lactate is then actively effluxed into the TME via monocarboxylate transporter 4 (MCT4), driving local lactate concentrations to a range of 10–40 mM.
Immune Suppression
Such elevated lactate levels exert multifaceted immunosuppressive effects: they directly impair the activation, proliferation, and cytotoxic function of antitumor immune cells (e.g., chimeric antigen receptor T [CAR-T] cells, cytotoxic T lymphocytes); promote the recruitment and functional polarization of immunosuppressive cell populations (e.g., regulatory T cells, myeloid-derived suppressor cells); and further compromise the therapeutic efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors by attenuating T cell-mediated antitumor responses.
Static Limits
Currently available static lactate-targeting intervention strategies (e.g., fixed-dose lactate dehydrogenase inhibitors, MCT blockers) lack real-time dynamic regulatory capacity, which often leads to two critical limitations: either off-target disruption of systemic metabolic homeostasis (e.g., perturbation of physiological lactate metabolism in normal tissues) or insufficient local intervention (e.g., failure to maintain lactate concentrations within a therapeutically effective range in the TME due to adaptive upregulation of alternative metabolic pathways in tumor cells).

1.2 Proposed Solution (SPGM)

To address this immunosuppressive metabolic trap, we have designed a synthetic biological module capable of real-time sensing of TME lactate concentrations and dynamically regulating the secretion of secretory lactate oxidase (sLOx)—a key enzyme that catalyzes the oxidation of lactate to pyruvate and hydrogen peroxide (H₂O₂)—for targeted lactate degradation.

1.3 Key Challenges

Core technical bottlenecks
1 low specificity and sensitivity of lactate sensing (e.g., cross-reactivity with other monocarboxylates in the TME, inability to distinguish physiological vs. pathological lactate levels);
2 inefficient signal transduction (e.g., weak binding affinity between sensor proteins and downstream signaling molecules, incomplete activation of downstream cascades);
3 absence of closed-loop feedback regulation (risk of excessive sLOx secretion leading to off-target oxidative damage or insufficient lactate degradation due to unregulated enzyme output);
4 lack of a rational design basis for protein complex screening (reliance on empirical trials rather than structure-based or energy-based prediction models).
Additional challenges
a interference from the complex TME components (e.g., acidic pH, high concentrations of reactive oxygen species, and extracellular matrix proteins) that disrupt sensor stability and enzyme activity;
b difficulty in balancing protein structural stability and functional activity (e.g., modifications to enhance sLOx stability may compromise its catalytic efficiency);
c low throughput and reproducibility of wet-lab experiments (e.g., time-consuming and labor-intensive TME mimetic culture systems).

1.4 System Overview: the SPGM Lactate-Responsive Genetic Circuit

To overcome these obstacles, we developed the SPGM lactate-responsive genetic circuit system — a synthetic biological platform with spatiotemporal precision and self-regulation capabilities. This solution adopts a modular design based on synthetic biology principles, integrating four synergistic functional modules with well-defined boundaries and interoperability.

S — Lactate Sensing P — Protease Assembly G — Genetic Regulation M — Metabolic Output

1.5 Methods Overview (In Silico → Wet-Lab → Optimization)

Methodologically, we adopt a closed-loop iterative strategy of 'in silico prediction → wet-lab validation → system optimization' to improve the reliability and efficiency of the SPGM system development:

In silico

In silico experiments: Enhance prediction accuracy through multi-scale computational approaches, including (a) Modular mathematical modeling (e.g., integrating four synergistic functional modules); (b) Structure-based molecular docking scoring (e.g., using AutoDock Vina to predict the binding affinity between the lactate sensor and lactate); and (c) Markov models to simulate the long-term stability and adaptive responses of the genetic circuit in dynamic TME conditions.

Wet-lab

Wet-lab experiments: Validate key hypotheses and system functionality using (a) TME-mimetic in vitro models to assess sensor specificity and sLOx activity; (b) Dual-Luciferase Reporter Gene Assay Experiment to employ for module screening, signal validation, and feedback dynamics detection; and (c) Western Blot Experiment to measure and compare the expression level of sLOx and verify the consequences and conclusions of silico experiments.

System optimization

System optimization: Achieve further improvement through (a) Module coupling optimization (e.g., adjusting the expression levels of sensor and protease proteins to optimize signal transduction kinetics); and (b) Global sensitivity analysis (e.g., identifying key parameters—such as sensor affinity, protease assembly efficiency, and sLOx catalytic rate—that most significantly affect system performance) to prioritize modifications.

1.6 Expected Impact

Ultimately, this approach enables dynamic, specific, and precise degradation of lactate in the TME, addressing the limitations of static intervention strategies and offering a novel, translatable strategy for enhancing cancer immunotherapy.

2. Highlights


Click any section to expand for more details.

3. Modular Design (SPGM Modules)


Introduction

Screening of High-Efficiency Protein Combinations and Using the SPGM Model for Dynamic Lactate Regulation in the Tumor Microenvironment

The objective of mathematical modeling is to quantitatively simulate the spatiotemporal dynamics of this cascade and predict which of the eight fusion protein combinations (e.g., LacR N-terminal + TEV C-terminal, LacR C-terminal + TEV N-terminal) exhibits: (1) the highest lactate sensitivity; (2) optimal signal amplification efficiency; (3) minimal background leakage; and (4) the fastest response kinetics.

The model will be primarily constructed using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) grounded in mass action kinetics and Michaelis-Menten enzyme kinetics. It will simulate a physiologically relevant time course (e.g., 72 hours).

Figure 1. Workflow of the SPGM Model (video).
SPGM Navigator S P G M

Click any sector to jump to its module and highlight it.

Modular Modeling-Based Kinetic Analysis of the SPGM System (Four-Module Decomposition and Functional Elaboration)

A modular modeling strategy is employed in this study, which logically decomposes the lactate-responsive genetic circuit into four core modules with synergistic effects: Lactate Sensing (S), Protease Assembly (P), Genetic Regulation (G), and Metabolic Output (M). The molecular mechanisms and kinetic processes of each module are elaborated as follows:

  1. Lactate Sensing (S) This module governs the initial recognition of extracellular lactate. Lactate (L) is transported into 293T cells through monocarboxylate transporter 1 (MCT1), where it triggers conformational changes that drive the assembly of N-terminal (SN) and C-terminal (SC) sensor subunits into a functionally active lactate sensor complex (Sc).
  2. Protease Assembly (P) This module mediates signal transduction through protease reconstitution. The fully assembled lactate sensor complex (Sc) acts as a molecular scaffold to facilitate the association of N-terminal (TN) and C-terminal (TC) fragments of TEV protease, resulting in the formation of catalytically active TEV protease (Pa).
  3. Genetic Regulation (G) This module controls the transcriptional activation of the secretory lactate oxidase (sLOx) gene. Active TEV protease (Pa) specifically recognizes and cleaves TEV recognition sequences flanking the GV transcriptional activator in the cytoplasm, releasing free GV. The liberated GV translocates into the nucleus via nuclear pores, binds to the 5xUAS promoter element, and initiates downstream sLOx gene expression.
  4. Metabolic Output (M) This module executes the ultimate functional output of the system: synthesized sLOx is secreted extracellularly, where it catalyzes the degradation of lactate in the surrounding microenvironment, completing the metabolic regulatory circuit.
Modeling Assumptions

To simplify the modeling process, the following mathematical modeling is based on the following core assumptions:

1. Homogeneous Reaction System Assumption
The cytoplasm is assumed to be a uniform reaction environment. HEK293T cells have a diameter of approximately 15 μm and a spherical volume of around 2.15×10⁻¹⁵ L; the diffusion coefficients (D) of intracellular molecules range from 10⁻¹⁰ m²/s (small molecules) to 10⁻¹¹ m²/s (proteins). Using the diffusion time formula (r = 7.5 μm), the calculated diffusion equilibrium time is ~0.94 s for small molecules and ~9.4 s for proteins—both far shorter than the simulated time scale (0–24 h). Experimental validation can be done via FRET imaging of SN/SC distributions.

2. Assumption for the Applicability of the Law of Mass Action
All reactions are assumed to follow the law of mass action. Intracellular lactate is ~0.1–1 mM; sensor subunits SN/SC are 0.5–2 μM (WB-quantified), within dilute-solution range (<10 mM), satisfying the conditions.

3. Constant Time Delay Assumption
A fixed 1.5 h delay is set for gene expression (typical 1–2 h in mammalian cells). qPCR of sLOx mRNA peaking at 1.2–1.8 h would support this.

4. Enzyme Kinetic Stability Assumption
LOx kinetic parameters are considered stable in the microenvironment: sLOx activity fluctuation <10% between pH 7.0–7.4 (peripheral TME 7.0–7.2). In vitro assays from pH 6.8–7.6 maintaining ≥92% activity would validate this.

5. No Feedback Regulation Assumption
Feedback effects of lactate on sensor expression are neglected because the sensor is driven by a constitutive promoter and not regulated by lactate concentration.

3.1 Lactate Sensing Module (S)


3.2 Protease Assembly Module (P)


3.3 Gene Regulation Module (G)


3.4 Metabolic Output Module (M)


4. Screening of Eight Combinations


Overview

In the research on the SPGM lactate-responsive genetic circuit, the screening of eight fusion protein constructs represents a core critical step, whose primary objective is to achieve a functional closed-loop of “precise lactate sensing and efficient lactate degradation.” This study established a screening strategy centered on dry-lab quantitative prediction and supported by wet-lab validation. By constructing a quantitative evaluation system based on four key performance parameters (Spatial Complementarity Index, SCI; Orientation Match Factor, OMF; Binding Energy Score, BES; Kinetic Efficiency Coefficient, KEC), combined with a weighted scoring method, the functionally optimal fusion protein construct was finally identified. The specific technical workflow and design rationale are outlined below:

The design of the eight fusion protein constructs stems from the core requirement of “controllable activation of TEV protease.” In this study, TEV protease was split into an inactive N-terminal fragment (TN, containing catalytic residues H46 and D81) and a C-terminal fragment (TC, containing the core catalytic residue C151). These two fragments were fused to either the N-terminus (SN) or C-terminus (SC) of the lactate sensor via a flexible linker (GGGGS)₃, forming two structural types: “T-(GGGGS)₃-S” and “S-(GGGGS)₃-T.” This resulted in a total of eight distinct fusion protein constructs.

The screening process was conducted in two steps, as detailed below:

  1. Pre-screening: Elimination of “Non-functional Constructs”
    A rapid screening was performed using the kinetic rate constant (KEC) as the core indicator to eliminate constructs with lost functionality. Calculations revealed that the KEC values of the “LS3.1”, “LS3.7”, and “LS3.8” constructs approached zero, differing by an order of magnitude from other constructs. This indicates that the TN and TC fragments in these three constructs are almost unable to form active TEV protease through diffusional collision—similar to “parts that cannot be assembled into a functional tool.” Even if the sensor successfully detects lactate, these constructs fail to initiate downstream signaling pathways. Consequently, they were directly excluded from wet-lab validation, significantly reducing unnecessary experimental costs.
  2. Quantitative Scoring & Wet-Lab Validation
    The remaining candidates were evaluated across four dimensions—spatial complementarity (SCI), orientation alignment (OMF), interface stability (BES), and kinetic efficiency (KEC)—via docking and mathematical modeling; results were summarized in the Construct-Parameter Correspondence Table. High-potential constructs (e.g., “LS3.4” and “LS3.5”) were then prioritized for validation using co-transfection with a dual-luciferase reporter in 293T cells under graded lactate. “LS3.5” achieved the highest sLOx expression and lactate degradation efficiency (≈60% reduction within 72 h), consistent with dry-lab predictions, and was finalized as the optimal construct.

II. Physical Significance and Importance of the Four Key Performance Parameters (SCI/OMF/BES/KEC)

The four parameters comprehensively evaluate the functional feasibility of fusion protein combinations from four critical perspectives: ability to assemble, catalytic efficiency, structural stability, and response speed. Each dimension is indispensable for ensuring optimal performance:

Parameter Physical Significance Importance
SCI
Spatial Complementarity Index Geometric reach & alignment to form the active center
Evaluates whether the TN and TC domains of TEV protease can reach and align correctly to form an active center after lactate sensor binding.
(Simplified model: The sensor is represented as a 5 nm rigid sphere; TEV fragments are treated as “core components”. Activity decreases by >90% if the distance between components exceeds 0.5 nm or their relative orientation deviates by >30°.)
Requires precise alignment between the active centers of TN and TC to enable cleavage of downstream molecules (e.g., GV-ERT2). If SCI is too low, even upon lactate sensing by the receptor, TEV fails to form an active structure, resulting in a signal interruption within the genetic circuit. Thus, SCI serves as the fundamental criterion determining whether the system can initiate its function.
OMF
Orientation Match Factor Directional matching of catalytic residues
Assessing whether the catalytic residues of TN and TC are properly aligned upon association.
(For example, H46 and D81 in TN must directly face C151 in TC. Misalignment is analogous to “scissor blades facing back-to-back,” rendering the complex incapable of cleavage.)
Even if TN and TC are in close proximity, misalignment of catalytic residues prevents cleavage activity. The OMF metric addresses the “directional limitation” of SCI — for instance, while combination “LS3.3” exhibits a high SCI, its OMF is only 0.096, resulting in significantly lower actual activity compared to combination “LS3.5” (OMF = 0.442). Thus, OMF serves as a key determinant of functional efficiency.
BES
Binding Energy Score Local interface stability (AMBER)
The structural stability at the fusion site between the sensor and TEV fragment was computationally evaluated. A negative value indicates “high structural stability” (dominated by attractive forces), while a positive value suggests “low structural stability” (dominated by repulsive forces).
(Calculations were performed using the AMBER molecular mechanics force field, incorporating electrostatic and van der Waals interactions.)
Fusion proteins must maintain intracellular stability to function persistently. A less negative or positive BES indicates poorer stability (e.g., BES = −2500 is worse than −3240). Junction fragility may lead to dissociation of TEV fragments or sensor failure. Thus, BES serves as a critical indicator for the long-term reliability of the constructs.
KEC
Kinetic Efficiency Coefficient Assembly speed from diffusion–collision
Measures how rapidly the TN and TC fragments associate to form active TEV protease, reflecting the response speed of the combination to lactate signals.
(Based on transition state theory, the rate constant for active complex formation via diffusion and collision is estimated.)
The lactate concentration in the tumor microenvironment is highly dynamic (e.g., may abruptly rise or fall). If the KEC value is too low (e.g., KEC = 0.000150 for the “1+8” combination), the slow assembly rate of TEV protease may cause the system to miss the optimal window for lactate degradation. In contrast, the “LS3.5” combination exhibits a significantly higher KEC value (0.114874), enabling rapid response to lactate signals. Therefore, KEC is a critical parameter determining whether a combination can respond in a timely manner.

III. Weighted Scoring Strategy: Screening for the Optimal Construct via “Requirement-Oriented Weighting”

The core of weighted scoring lies in assigning higher weights to performance indicators that are critical to the system’s ultimate goal, thereby avoiding biased selection dominated by a single indicator. This process is divided into two steps:

  1. Definition of Scoring Criteria
    The weighted scoring strategy is designed around the core objective of the SPGM system—dynamically reducing lactate concentration in the tumor microenvironment. Accordingly, the four performance indicators are assigned weights based on their functional importance:
    • High lactate sensitivity (accurate detection of elevated lactate levels, 35%) and high sLOx production (efficient lactate clearance, 35%) are classified as core requirements;
    • Low background leakage (20%) is defined as a secondary requirement;
    • Fast response speed (10%) is regarded as a basic requirement.

    Weight vector: ω = [0.35 (sensitivity), 0.35 (sLOx production), 0.20 (background leakage), 0.10 (response speed)]

  2. Comprehensive Scoring: Weighted Sum After Normalization
    Due to variations in the value ranges of different indicator scores (e.g., S₁ may range from 0.001 to 0.1, while S₃ may span 0.2 to 0.8), the scores of each construct must first be normalized to a relative scale of 0–1 (where 1 represents the best performance for that indicator, and 0 represents the worst). The final composite score is calculated as the weighted sum of the normalized scores multiplied by their respective weights.
    Take the “LS3.5” construct as an example: After normalization: S₁ = 1, S₂ = 1, S₃ = 0.503, S₄ = 1.
    Composite score = (1 × 0.35) + (1 × 0.35) + (0.503 × 0.20) + (1 × 0.10) = 0.90068.
    This score is significantly higher than that of other constructs (e.g., the “2+8” construct only scored 0.309863). Thus, “LS3.5” was identified as the optimal choice.

Summary

The screening of the eight fusion protein constructs essentially represents a shift from empirical judgment to scientifically parameter-driven evaluation. The four key performance parameters address distinct functional dimensions of the system:

  • Efficiency (how well the system performs, reflected by sLOx production and lactate clearance);
  • Sensitivity (whether the system can accurately detect lactate signals);
  • Background leakage (whether cellular resources are wasted);
  • Speed (how quickly the system responds after signal detection).

The weighted scoring system, designed based on actual therapeutic requirements, ensures that the selected “LS3.5” construct not only avoids unnecessary cellular resource waste (low background leakage) but also responds precisely to tumor-derived lactate signals, achieves efficient lactate degradation, and initiates rapid reactions. This outcome lays a critical foundation for the therapeutic potential of the SPGM system.

5. Complete Systemic Feedback Loop & Simulation


5.1 Complete Systemic Feedback Loop

Complete Systemic Feedback Loop

Initiation: High extracellular lactate concentration [Lac]out.

Input and Sensing (Module 1): [Lac]out is transported into the cell via the MCT1 transporter (Equation 2), increasing intracellular lactate levels [Lac]in. The rise in [Lac]in further induces the formation of the sensor complex [Sc] (Equation 3).

Signal Processing (Modules 2 & 3): The formation of [Sc] promotes the assembly of active TEV protease [Pa] (Equation 4). Activated [Pa] cleaves and releases the transcription factor [Gv], ultimately inducing the expression and secretion of sLOx ([Ox]) (Equations 1417).

Metabolic Output (Module 4): Secreted sLOx [Ox] degrades extracellular lactate [Lac]out in the microenvironment (Equation 19).

Negative Feedback: The reduction in [Lac]out attenuates the stimulation of 293T cells, leading to downregulation of sLOx production and establishing a dynamically balanced closed-loop regulation.

5.2 Simulation Results

This integrated model more accurately simulates the behavior of the SPGM system within the tumor microenvironment, predicting how the system responds to and actively regulates lactate levels, thereby enabling evaluation of its effectiveness as an 'intelligent' therapeutic strategy.

Based on this coupled model, we simulated the temporal dynamics (0–72 hours) of both [Lac]out and [Ox].

Time (h) [Lac]out (μM) [Ox] (molecules)
0.0 5000.0 0.0
1.5 6335.0 3.1
2.4 34.2 55.3
3.0 34.3 54.3
6.0 37.1 50.2
9.0 39.8 47.0
12.0 41.8 44.8
15.0 43.5 43.2
18.0 44.6 42.1
21.0 45.5 41.4
24.0 46.0 40.9
27.0 46.4 40.6
30.0 46.7 40.4
33.0 46.8 40.2
36.0 47.0 40.2
39.0 47.0 40.1
42.0 47.0 40.1
45.0 47.0 40.0
48.0 47.2 40.0
51.0 47.1 40.0
54.0 47.1 40.0
57.0 47.1 40.0
60.0 47.1 40.0
63.0 47.2 40.0
66.0 47.1 40.0
69.0 47.1 40.0
72.0 47.1 40.0
Temporal changes in [Lac]out and sLOx [Ox]
Figure 10: Temporal Changes in [Lac]out and sLOx [Ox]

I. Core Dynamic Patterns

Expand core patterns
  1. Phased sLOx [Ox] Response:
    During the initial simulation phase (0–1.5 hours), sLOx concentration remained at a low level, corresponding to the system signal initiation period. Lactate enters the cell via MCT1, induces sensor complex formation, promotes TEV protease assembly, and activates GV. Due to a 1.5-hour time lag in gene expression, sLOx secretion had not yet commenced significantly.
    Between 1.5–2.4 hours, sLOx concentration rapidly increased to its peak (∼55.3 molecules), marking the high-efficiency secretion phase. By this stage, activated TEV had extensively cleaved GV and initiated sLOx gene expression, with secretion efficiency (via the ER-Golgi pathway) reaching a steady state.
    From 2.4–72 hours, sLOx concentration decreased slightly and then stabilized near peak levels with minor fluctuations, reflecting the system’s dynamic balance between sLOx expression and degradation (including intracellular misfolding-dependent degradation and extracellular constitutive degradation).
  2. Synchronous Feedback Regulation of [Lac]out:
    During the initial phase (0–1.5 hours), [Lac]out continued to rise and remained at a high initial level (peak ≈ 6335 μM), as the low sLOx concentration resulted in a lactate degradation rate lower than the secretion rate by tumor cells.
    Between 1.5–2.4 hours, as sLOx levels increased rapidly, [Lac]out exhibited a pronounced decline, dropping to approximately 34.2 μM at the 2.4-hour mark. During this period, the sLOx-mediated lactate degradation rate significantly exceeded both the secretion rate of tumor cells and cellular uptake, representing the high-efficiency lactate clearance phase of the system.
    From 2.4–72 hours, [Lac]out entered a phase of gradual increase, eventually stabilizing at around 47.1 μM. At this stage, the sLOx degradation rate reached a dynamic equilibrium with lactate production and uptake rates, establishing a homeostatic state under closed-loop 'lactate–sLOx' regulatory control.

II. Validation of System Functionality

  1. Dynamic Responsiveness Meets Requirements
    The concentration of sLOx exhibits a characteristic pattern of 'delayed initiation – rapid increase – steady-state maintenance' in response to changes in extracellular lactate ([Lac]s). This demonstrates that the SPGM system can autonomously regulate its metabolic output based on lactate levels in the tumor microenvironment, effectively avoiding 'over-secretion in the absence of lactate' and 'insufficient response under high lactate conditions'. These results confirm that the system achieves its intended design goal of intelligent lactate reduction.
  2. Significant Lactate Degradation Efficiency
    Within 72 hours, extracellular lactate ([Lac]out) decreased from an initial concentration of approximately 5000 μM to about 47.1 μM, representing a reduction of 99.058%. Effective control of lactate levels (reduced to 0.9% of the initial value) was achieved within 20 hours.
  3. Reliable Stability of Closed-Loop Regulation
    From 2.4 to 72 hours, both [Lac]s and sLOx concentrations remained in a stable plateau phase without significant fluctuations. This confirms the effectiveness of the negative feedback loop in the SPGM system: elevated lactate → increased sLOx secretion → lactate degradation → downregulation of sLOx secretion. This regulatory mechanism prevents resource waste due to excessive sLOx production and avoids lactate rebound caused by insufficient sLOx, demonstrating the robustness of the system for long-term operation.

III. Alignment with System Design Objectives

The simulation results strongly align with the core objective of the SPGM system: dynamically reducing lactate levels in the melanoma microenvironment and reversing immunosuppression. The phased secretion pattern of sLOx demonstrates the system’s ability to precisely adapt to dynamic changes in tumor-derived lactate, enabling autonomous regulation without exogenous intervention. These findings provide a theoretical foundation for subsequent wet-lab experiments and offer key modeling support for the feasibility of the system as a standalone therapy or a combination therapy enhancer.

5.3 Sobol Sensitivity Analysis

To further refine the modeling process, we performed a global sensitivity analysis of factors influencing extracellular lactate concentration using a Sobol variance–decomposition framework (first- and total-order indices). Key parameters included tumor lactate production (PL), transport velocity (v), sLOx catalytic constants (Vm,ox, Km,ox), and secretion/decay terms.

Global sensitivity analysis
Figure 11: Global Sensitivity Analysis Results

The results indicate that lactate concentration in the tumor microenvironment is most strongly correlated with the hydrogen ion concentration within 293T cells.

6. Connections to Wet-Lab Experiments


6.1 Guidance from Dry-Lab to Wet-Lab Studies

  1. Based on molecular docking and molecular dynamics analyses, the dry-lab results identified that combinations “LS3.1”, “LS3.7”, and “LS3.8” exhibit significantly different KEC values (differing by orders of magnitude) compared to other constructs, approaching zero. Therefore, these three combinations may be excluded in subsequent wet-lab experimental procedures.
  2. Global sensitivity analysis revealed that lactate concentration in the tumor microenvironment is most strongly correlated with hydrogen ion concentration within 293T cells. Since reducing lactate levels in the tumor microenvironment is a key objective of our project, subsequent wet-lab experiments should prioritize accurate measurement of intracellular hydrogen ion concentration. To enhance the efficiency of lactate reduction, strategies targeting modulation of intracellular hydrogen ion concentration should be considered first.

6.2 Validation of Dry-Lab Predictions via Wet-Lab Experiments

1、Experimental Verification of Dry-Lab Assumptions

  1. The homogeneity of the reaction

    The homogeneity of the reaction system was tested using Förster Resonance Energy Transfer (FRET).

  2. Constant time-delay validation

    The assumption of constant time delay was validated by monitoring sLOx mRNA levels via quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR).

  3. Enzymatic kinetic stability across pH

    Enzymatic kinetic stability was assessed by measuring sLOx activity in a pH range of 6.8–7.6 in an in vitro buffer system.

2、Functional Validation of Combination Performance

The experimental group co-transfected 293T cells with the LIdR-TEV fusion plasmid, GV-2ER plasmid, and pGL4.35.

Signal activation under varying lactate concentrations was measured using a dual-luciferase reporter assay. Results confirmed that the “LS3.5” combination performed optimally, consistent with dry-lab predictions.Lab Results

Representative wet-lab setup/validation image
Representative wet-lab validation schematic.

3、Kinetic Validation of Model Predictions

Starting with an initial lactate concentration of 5000 μM in the 293T culture environment, extracellular lactate and sLOx secretion levels were measured every 3 hours over a 72-hour period. This time-series data was used to evaluate the accuracy of the dry-lab predicted equations.

7. Model Predictions (Markov)


7.1 Markov Model

Markov Model To more accurately simulate intracellular heterogeneity, local concentration gradients, and stochastic effects, we employed a Markov model to predict and simulate gene expression regulation. This Markov model module serves as a complement and extension to the gene regulation module (G), aiming to characterize the molecular-level stochasticity of GV protein activation and sLOx gene expression from the perspective of stochastic processes.

Traditional ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are based on the assumption of continuous concentration changes and are suitable for systems with high molecular abundances. However, they fail to capture stochastic fluctuations under low-copy-number conditions or the discrete nature of individual molecular events. GV proteins and transcription factors typically exist at low copy numbers (ranging from a few to a few hundred molecules per cell), and gene expression events are inherently discrete and stochastic.

Why Markov models?

  1. Capture intrinsic stochasticity at the molecular level
  2. Reveal the origins of cell-to-cell variability
  3. Predict threshold effects and bimodal distributions
  4. Provide more realistic theoretical predictions for experimental design

This module employs a Continuous-Time Markov Chain (CTMC) model to simulate the state transitions of individual GV molecules and sLOx gene expression events, thereby more accurately capturing the intrinsic stochasticity of biological systems. It consists of two Markov submodels: one for GV activation and another for sLOx expression.

GV Activation CTMC (single “GV-ERT2” unit)

State Definitions:

  • State 0 (S₀): GV-ERT2 intact, uncut.
  • State 1 (S₁): Bound by an active TEV protease (Pₐ).
  • State 2 (S₂): GV cleaved and released as a free transcription factor.
State Diagram of the GV Activation Markov Model
Figure 12. State Diagram of the GV Activation Markov Model

Gillespie algorithm (SSA) steps:

  1. Initialization: All GV molecules start in State 0 (intact and unbound).
  2. Rate Calculation: Compute all possible transition rates for each molecule.
  3. Event Selection: Generate random numbers to determine the time and type of the next transition.
  4. State Update: Update the molecular state and advance the system time.
  5. Iteration: Repeat until the simulation end time is reached.

Specific results are shown below:

Simulation Results of the GV Activation Markov Model
Figure 13. Simulation Results of the GV Activation Markov Model
  • Rapid Binding Phase (0–1 hour): GV molecules quickly bind to TEV protease.
  • Activation Phase (1–5 hours): Bound GV is cleaved, leading to a rapid increase in the activation ratio.
  • Stabilization Phase (5–72 hours): The system reaches dynamic equilibrium, with approximately 70–80% of GV activated.

Key Quantitative Results:
Final GV activation ratio: 100.0%
Time required to achieve 50% activation: 1.1 hours

sLOx Gene Expression Modeling (CTMC)

A multi-component Markov model was employed to simulate sLOx expression, with a two-dimensional state space vector (m, p), where m represents the number of mRNA molecules and p the number of sLOx protein molecules. The model incorporates the following stochastic events: transcription, translation, mRNA degradation, protein degradation, and protein secretion. A variant of the Gillespie algorithm was used to handle the multi-dimensional state space. Specific results are shown below:

Simulation Results of the sLOx Gene Expression Markov Model
Figure 14. Simulation Results of the sLOx Gene Expression Markov Model

Quantitative snapshot:
Final secreted sLOx: 25,786 molecules
Average mRNA count: 20.21
Average intracellular protein: 199.63

Insights beyond ODEs:

  1. Transcriptional Bursting: Genes undergo random “bursts” of transcription rather than continuous mRNA production.
  2. Expression Noise: Even genetically identical cells exhibit significant variations in expression levels.
  3. Threshold Effects: Some cells may show no sLOx expression, while others exhibit unusually high expression.
  4. Temporal Heterogeneity: Significant delays and variability exist between GV activation and sLOx secretion.

7.2 Future Directions

  1. Incorporate spatial heterogeneity into the modeling framework
  2. Develop more efficient computational algorithms for large-scale systems
  3. Refine model parameters by integrating single-cell omics data
  4. Explore machine learning methods to accelerate stochastic simulation processes

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